Health risk and disease burden attributable to long-term global fine-mode particles

Abstract

Particulate matter 2.5 (PM_(2.5)) pollution has long been a global environmental problem and still poses a great threat to public health. This study investigates global spatiotemporal variations in PM_(2.5) using the newly developed satellite-derived PM_(2.5) dataset from 1998 to 2018. An integrated exposure–response (IER) model was employed to examine the characteristics of PM_(2.5)-related deaths caused by chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), ischemic heart disease (IHD), lung cancer (LC), and stroke in adults (age≥25), as well as lower respiratory infection (LRI) in children (age≤5). The results showed that high annual PM_(2.5) concentrations were observed mainly in East Asia and South Asia. Over the 19-year period, PM_(2.5) concentrations constantly decreased in developed regions, but increased in most developing regions. Approximately 84% of the population lived in regions where PM_(2.5) concentrations exceeded 10 μg/m³. Meanwhile, the vast majority of the population (>60%) in East and South Asia was consistently exposed to PM_(2.5) levels above 35 μg/m³. PM_(2.5) exposure was linked to 3.38 (95% UI: 3.05–3.70) million premature deaths globally in 2000, a number that increased to 4.11 (95% UI: 3.55–4.69) million in 2018. Premature deaths related to PM_(2.5) accounted for 6.54%−7.79% of the total cause of deaths worldwide, with a peak in 2011. Furthermore, developing regions contributed to the majority (85.95%–95.06%) of PM_(2.5)-related deaths worldwide, and the three highest-ranking regions were East Asia, South Asia, and Southeast Asia. Globally, IHD and stroke were the two main contributors to total PM_(2.5)-related deaths, followed by COPD, LC, and LRI.

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