Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics
Abstract
Dynamical processes in the atmosphere and ocean are central to determining the large-scale drivers of regional climate change, yet their predictive understanding is poor. Here, we identify three frontline challenges in climate dynamics where significant progress can be made to inform adaptation: response of storms, blocks and jet streams to external forcing; basin-to-basin and tropical–extratropical teleconnections; and the development of non-linear predictive theory. We highlight opportunities and techniques for making immediate progress in these areas, which critically involve the development of high-resolution coupled model simulations, partial coupling or pacemaker experiments, as well as the development and use of dynamical metrics and exploitation of hierarchies of models.
Additional Information
© 2018 Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature. Received: 30 June 2017; Accepted: 12 December 2017; Published online: 29 January 2018. We acknowledge the support of CLIVAR in setting up the Climate Dynamics Panel and their travel support for hosting panel meetings. M.C. and S.M. conceived the paper and also co-chair the CLIVAR Climate Dynamics Panel. All other authors contributed to the writing. C.O.R. produced Fig. 2 and M.C. acknowledges support from NERC NE/N018486/1. N.K. acknowledges support from the ERC (grant 648982). The authors declare no competing financial interests.Additional details
- Eprint ID
- 84848
- DOI
- 10.1038/s41558-017-0059-8
- Resolver ID
- CaltechAUTHORS:20180215-101919111
- NE/N018486/1
- Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)
- 648982
- European Research Council (ERC)
- Created
-
2018-02-15Created from EPrint's datestamp field
- Updated
-
2023-03-16Created from EPrint's last_modified field